(replicated from the thread I started - archiving purpose)
I start this thread to highlight how we can actually calculate how big should a stadium capacity be based on the population of the town/country its located, as well as, how strong is a club supported by their community.
As such statistics are never fully accurate, I will only take the immediate town the stadium is in as a gauge for its support. Just like I dun expect more spectators from Sengkang and Punggol than Hougang when Sengkang Punggol is having their home match, so adding in adjacent towns may dilute the stats by too much.
Ideally, a 4 mil strong Singapore should have a 60k stadium thus, 1.5% support will fill up the stadium.
So based on this figure of 1.5%, 1.5% of pop in area should = capacity of the local stadium or the potential number of supporters to be considered well supported (ideal situation)
So the results will tell us, whether a region is under-supported or well-supported; a stadium is under-sized, or, too big for the local community.
-----
METHOD OF CALCULATION
Local Town (Team)
Pop: Total Population
Stadium: Total Capacity
S/P Ratio: Stadium Capacity / Population Ratio in % ; number of ppl needed per 100 of the population to fill up the stadium
Current(avg attendance): avg attendance / total population in %; current no. supporters per 100 of the population
VERDICT RESULTS:
the verdict is an indication how well the clubs is being supported as opposed to the full potential they could have (based on 1.5% of population or 3 person per 200 ppl). So we dun "judge the book by its cover".
result = current support / 1.5 * 100
>100% - S, shouldn't expect anymore from them (unless we raise the bar)
90-100% - A+, strongly supported
80-90% - A, very well supported
70-80% - B, good support
60-70% - C, decent support
50-60% - D, maginal support
40-50% - E, poorly supported
30-40% - F, badly supported
<30% class="Apple-converted-space">
--------
Singapore (Singapore NT)
Pop: 4,608,167 (july 08)
Stadium: 55,000
S/P Ratio: 1.19% (,or ard 1/100 person can fit in)
Current (optimistic 20,000): 0.434% (,or 1/200 S'poreans)
VERDICT: 28.93% - U.
FAIL!!! BADLY SUPPORTED.
(it a fact now. Its supported by my mathematical formulae.)
---
(sleague attendance is based on 2008 season by firdaus, source: http://kallangroar.com/blogs/firdaus...tatistics.html)
(population of town, source: Singapore [ City Population: Cities, Towns, Countries & Provinces, Statistics & Maps ])
Tampines New Town (Tampines Rovers)
Pop: 257,400
Stadium: 4500
S/P Ratio: 1.748%
Current (2387.29): 0.927%
VERDICT: 61.8% - C. (despite the strongest attendance, they did not tapped more into their vast potential fan pool)
Choa Chu Kang (SAFFC)
Pop: 165,800
Stadium: 4000
S/P Ratio: 2.413%
Current (2249.62): 1.357%
VERDICT: 90.5% - A+. (the potential is almost fully realised)
Jurong East (Albirex Niigata)
Pop: 88,200
Stadium: 3800
S/P Ratio: 4.308%
Current (1968.79): 2.232%
VERDICT: 148.8% - S. (consider the small population in the immediate area of Jurong East Stadium, the attendance is actually very strong)
Toa Payoh (Balestier Khalsa)
Pop: 118,000
Stadium: 3900
S/P Ratio: 3.305%
Current (1961.38): 1.667%
VERDICT: 111.1% - S. (we can't expect more. unless you want to consider Novena residents as part of their potential fanbase, the figure will be 71.8% - B)
Bedok (Geylang United)
Pop: 289,000
Stadium: 3864
S/P Ratio: 1.337%
Current (1913.36): 0.662%
VERDICT: 44.1% - E. (Geylang United indeed is a far cry from their glory days. With such vast population as potential fanpool, the current support is wimpy; although still better than our National Team's)
Woodlands (Woodlands Wellington)
Pop: 228,800
Stadium: 4300
S/P Ratio: 1.879%
Current (1862.47): 0.814%
VERDICT: 54.3% - D. (As the unfashionable side in the league, its no wonder the support is just maginal.)
Kallang (Young Lions)
Pop: 93,200
Stadium: 6000
S/P Ratio: 6.438%
Current (1734.00): 1.86%
VERDICT: 124% - S. (this is a good example of a club have supporters beyond the small populated region of Kallang. Their support is evidently beyond their immediate backyard)
Jurong West (Gombak United)
Pop: 211,000
Stadium: 4000
S/P Ratio: 1.896%
Current (1711.07): 0.81%
VERDICT: 54% - D. (Just for info, there is no town actually called Gombak. Gombak is situated in Bukit Batok. The West side towns consist of Jurong East, Jurong West, Clementi, Bukit Batok, Choa Chu Kang and Bukit Panjang. Boon Lay and Pioneer are industrial area and Tengah is Military zone & NTU premise)
Hougang (Sengkang Punggol)
Pop: 211,500
Stadium: 3400
S/P Ratio: 1.608%
Current (1568.54): 0.74%
VERDICT: 49.3% - E. (maybe the locating in Hougang is not such a good idea after all. Sengkang and Punggol ppl find it far, Hougang ppl feels no connection. Not here not there. And also might have something to do with their poor ranking)
Bishan (Home United)
Pop: 91,200
Stadium: 5500
S/P Ratio: 6.03%
(Bishan Stadium is too big for their town... Can only hope some AMK ave 1 ppl would come over...) (also explains the poor attendance of Home United)
Current (1450.33): 1.59%
VERDICT: 106% - S. (We might be laughing at their attendance a lot, but considering the population in the vicinity of Bishan Stadium, its actually considered a very good result! Its still puzzling why SSC build a 5500 capacity stadium in such a small {but rich} town?)
Yishun (Super Reds)
Pop: 179,300
Stadium: 3700
S/P Ratio: 0.948%
Current (1364.62): 0.761%
VERDICT: 50.7% - D. (Not well supported despite their incredible season in 2008)
Brunei (Brunei DPMM)
Pop: 381,371 (july 2008)
Stadium: 30,000
S/P: 7.866%
Current (9081): 2.381% (based on the latest match against Sengkang Punggol in Brunei)
VERDICT: 158.7% - S. (Can you imagine their support even with such a small population as a country. Not to mentioned their team is owning our Sleague teams. Time to wake up Singapore.)
I start this thread to highlight how we can actually calculate how big should a stadium capacity be based on the population of the town/country its located, as well as, how strong is a club supported by their community.
As such statistics are never fully accurate, I will only take the immediate town the stadium is in as a gauge for its support. Just like I dun expect more spectators from Sengkang and Punggol than Hougang when Sengkang Punggol is having their home match, so adding in adjacent towns may dilute the stats by too much.
Ideally, a 4 mil strong Singapore should have a 60k stadium thus, 1.5% support will fill up the stadium.
So based on this figure of 1.5%, 1.5% of pop in area should = capacity of the local stadium or the potential number of supporters to be considered well supported (ideal situation)
So the results will tell us, whether a region is under-supported or well-supported; a stadium is under-sized, or, too big for the local community.
-----
METHOD OF CALCULATION
Local Town (Team)
Pop: Total Population
Stadium: Total Capacity
S/P Ratio: Stadium Capacity / Population Ratio in % ; number of ppl needed per 100 of the population to fill up the stadium
Current(avg attendance): avg attendance / total population in %; current no. supporters per 100 of the population
VERDICT RESULTS:
the verdict is an indication how well the clubs is being supported as opposed to the full potential they could have (based on 1.5% of population or 3 person per 200 ppl). So we dun "judge the book by its cover".
result = current support / 1.5 * 100
>100% - S, shouldn't expect anymore from them (unless we raise the bar)
90-100% - A+, strongly supported
80-90% - A, very well supported
70-80% - B, good support
60-70% - C, decent support
50-60% - D, maginal support
40-50% - E, poorly supported
30-40% - F, badly supported
<30% class="Apple-converted-space">
--------
Singapore (Singapore NT)
Pop: 4,608,167 (july 08)
Stadium: 55,000
S/P Ratio: 1.19% (,or ard 1/100 person can fit in)
Current (optimistic 20,000): 0.434% (,or 1/200 S'poreans)
VERDICT: 28.93% - U.
FAIL!!! BADLY SUPPORTED.
(it a fact now. Its supported by my mathematical formulae.)
---
(sleague attendance is based on 2008 season by firdaus, source: http://kallangroar.com/blogs/firdaus...tatistics.html)
(population of town, source: Singapore [ City Population: Cities, Towns, Countries & Provinces, Statistics & Maps ])
Tampines New Town (Tampines Rovers)
Pop: 257,400
Stadium: 4500
S/P Ratio: 1.748%
Current (2387.29): 0.927%
VERDICT: 61.8% - C. (despite the strongest attendance, they did not tapped more into their vast potential fan pool)
Choa Chu Kang (SAFFC)
Pop: 165,800
Stadium: 4000
S/P Ratio: 2.413%
Current (2249.62): 1.357%
VERDICT: 90.5% - A+. (the potential is almost fully realised)
Jurong East (Albirex Niigata)
Pop: 88,200
Stadium: 3800
S/P Ratio: 4.308%
Current (1968.79): 2.232%
VERDICT: 148.8% - S. (consider the small population in the immediate area of Jurong East Stadium, the attendance is actually very strong)
Toa Payoh (Balestier Khalsa)
Pop: 118,000
Stadium: 3900
S/P Ratio: 3.305%
Current (1961.38): 1.667%
VERDICT: 111.1% - S. (we can't expect more. unless you want to consider Novena residents as part of their potential fanbase, the figure will be 71.8% - B)
Bedok (Geylang United)
Pop: 289,000
Stadium: 3864
S/P Ratio: 1.337%
Current (1913.36): 0.662%
VERDICT: 44.1% - E. (Geylang United indeed is a far cry from their glory days. With such vast population as potential fanpool, the current support is wimpy; although still better than our National Team's)
Woodlands (Woodlands Wellington)
Pop: 228,800
Stadium: 4300
S/P Ratio: 1.879%
Current (1862.47): 0.814%
VERDICT: 54.3% - D. (As the unfashionable side in the league, its no wonder the support is just maginal.)
Kallang (Young Lions)
Pop: 93,200
Stadium: 6000
S/P Ratio: 6.438%
Current (1734.00): 1.86%
VERDICT: 124% - S. (this is a good example of a club have supporters beyond the small populated region of Kallang. Their support is evidently beyond their immediate backyard)
Jurong West (Gombak United)
Pop: 211,000
Stadium: 4000
S/P Ratio: 1.896%
Current (1711.07): 0.81%
VERDICT: 54% - D. (Just for info, there is no town actually called Gombak. Gombak is situated in Bukit Batok. The West side towns consist of Jurong East, Jurong West, Clementi, Bukit Batok, Choa Chu Kang and Bukit Panjang. Boon Lay and Pioneer are industrial area and Tengah is Military zone & NTU premise)
Hougang (Sengkang Punggol)
Pop: 211,500
Stadium: 3400
S/P Ratio: 1.608%
Current (1568.54): 0.74%
VERDICT: 49.3% - E. (maybe the locating in Hougang is not such a good idea after all. Sengkang and Punggol ppl find it far, Hougang ppl feels no connection. Not here not there. And also might have something to do with their poor ranking)
Bishan (Home United)
Pop: 91,200
Stadium: 5500
S/P Ratio: 6.03%
(Bishan Stadium is too big for their town... Can only hope some AMK ave 1 ppl would come over...) (also explains the poor attendance of Home United)
Current (1450.33): 1.59%
VERDICT: 106% - S. (We might be laughing at their attendance a lot, but considering the population in the vicinity of Bishan Stadium, its actually considered a very good result! Its still puzzling why SSC build a 5500 capacity stadium in such a small {but rich} town?)
Yishun (Super Reds)
Pop: 179,300
Stadium: 3700
S/P Ratio: 0.948%
Current (1364.62): 0.761%
VERDICT: 50.7% - D. (Not well supported despite their incredible season in 2008)
Brunei (Brunei DPMM)
Pop: 381,371 (july 2008)
Stadium: 30,000
S/P: 7.866%
Current (9081): 2.381% (based on the latest match against Sengkang Punggol in Brunei)
VERDICT: 158.7% - S. (Can you imagine their support even with such a small population as a country. Not to mentioned their team is owning our Sleague teams. Time to wake up Singapore.)
No comments:
Post a Comment